How Denmark manages its wind variability — paper launched today

Posted by – 2010/09/22

Today, at the 2010 BIEE con­fer­ence, I’ll be present­ing a paper on how Den­mark man­ages its wind vari­ab­il­ity, and some of the implic­a­tions for its tar­get of deliv­er­ing 50% of its elec­tri­city from wind by 2025.

Here’s the abstract of the paper:

Abstract

Den­mark is fre­quently held up as a case study of a grid suc­cess­fully integ­rat­ing a wind pen­et­ra­tion of 20%. Con­versely, claims are made that Den­mark exports “most” or “almost all” of the elec­tri­city gen­er­ated by its wind tur­bines, although more spe­cific claims refer to 57%, 1% or 0.1% of wind power being exported.

Ana­lys­ing hourly power data from 2000–2010, hourly price data from 2006–2010, and minute-by-minute data from the last twelve months, this paper cri­tiques the meth­ods behind each of these claims, and com­pares them to known fea­tures of elec­tri­city mar­kets. Although elec­trons do not carry labels of ori­gin, and a method to assign exports to spe­cific gen­er­a­tion sources will carry some sub­jectiv­ity, it is pos­sible to put some mean­ing­ful lim­its on such claims about exports.

Based on that ana­lysis, the paper then assesses the likely impact on exports of Denmark’s pro­posal to move to 50% wind pen­et­ra­tion. Mixed-economy mar­ket struc­tures and infra­struc­ture options are set out that will enable such pen­et­ra­tions to be man­age­able, while min­im­ising need for cur­tail­ment of wind pro­duc­tion, and without increas­ing the like­li­hood of loss of load.

Down­load the paper on how Den­mark man­ages its wind vari­ab­il­ity from this link.

2 Comments on How Denmark manages its wind variability — paper launched today

  1. How #Den­mark man­ages #wind #energy #vari­ab­il­ity : towards 50% wind in 2025. Paper presen­ted today @ #BIEE2010 con­fer­ence http://j.mp/d2hCqY

  2. […] an exhaust­ively detailed paper presen­ted today by Andrew Smith of Lon­don Ana­lyt­ics looked at hourly power data from 2000–2010, hourly price data from 2006–2010, and minute-by-minute […]

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